Starter quiz
- Which letter on the scale of likelihoods represents 'even chance'?
- A
- B
- C ✓
- D
- E
-
- What does the letter A represent on the scale of likelihoods?
- certain
- even chance
- impossible ✓
- likely
- unlikely
-
- Which word describes the likelihood of an outcome that is guaranteed to happen?
- certain ✓
- even chance
- impossible
- likely
- unlikely
-
- Which percentage is equivalent to 0.1?
- 0.001%
- 0.01%
- 0.1%
- 1%
- 10% ✓
-
- Which fraction is equivalent to 50%?
- 21 ✓
- 51
- 201
- 501
-
- What is 25% of 2000?
- '500' ✓
Exit quiz
- The letter E on the scale represents a probability of ______%.
- '100' ✓
- Which probabilities are equivalent to an 'even chance'?
- 0.2
- 21 ✓
- 0.5 ✓
- 50% ✓
- 51
-
- What is the probability of an event that is impossible?
- '0' ✓
- Which is the probability that this spinner lands on 'win'?
- 1%
- 47% ✓
- 50%
- 53%
- 99%
-
- A trial has three possible outcomes: {A, B, C}. P(A) = 21. P(B) = 31. P(C) = 61. Which outcome is most likely to happen?
- A ✓
- B
- C
-
- The probability on an outcome is 20%. Approximately how many times could you expect the outcome to occur in 500 trials?
- 20
- 50
- 100 ✓
- 200
- 250
-
Worksheet
Presentation
Video
Lesson Details
Key learning points
- Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an outcome happening.
- An outcome can be assigned a numerical value from 0 to 1
- The probability scales shows the numerical values that an outcome might have.
Common misconception
Pupils think that 'likely' from the scale of likelihoods is only equal to a specific probability (e.g. 75%).
All probabilities that are greater than 50% but less than 100% are equivalent to 'likely' on the scale of likelihoods.
Keywords
Probability - The probability that an event will occur is the proportion of times the event is expected to happen in a suitably large experiment.
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